Paper: Can we anticipate climate hazards in context affected by conflict?

Paper details

Paper authors Catalina Jaime
In panel on From Reaction to Anticipation: How to Expand and Finance Anticipatory Humanitarian Action
Paper presenter(s) will be presenting In-Person / Online

Abstract

“By 2030, up to 2/3 of the world's extreme poor could live in fragile, conflict and violence (FCV) settings. Conflicts also drive 80% of all humanitarian needs and reduce gross domestic product (GDP) growth by two percentage points per year, on average”. The ICRC indicates that in protracted conflicts, people have multiple and intersectional vulnerabilities and needs that affect different aspects of their lives. Conflict-affected populations are often exposed to and severely impacted by natural hazard-related ‘disasters’, they are often off the radar and little is known about their perceptions and practices in relation to Early Warning and Early Action (EWEA). Little scientific knowledge exists about how disaster risk reduction (DRR), in particular EWEA strategies, can protect communities experiencing multiple vulnerabilities of disaster and conflict risk and the role. The most recent research about one of the elements of EWEA (forecast) will be presented in this session. Sharing a global analysis of weather forecast availability and communication for the most severe disaster events during the last 20 years in conflict affected areas. Were they predicted and communicated?

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