Paper details
| Paper authors | Isabelle Tingzon, Lara, Loussert, Hiromi Akiyama, Katie Peters, Karima Ben Bih |
| In panel on | Disaster Risk Reduction in Fragile, Conflict-Affected, and Vulnerable (FCV) Contexts: Strategies for Protracted Crises |
| Paper presenter(s) will be presenting |
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Abstract
Disasters and conflicts are often interconnected and mutually reinforcing in ways that exacerbate vulnerability. Disasters can intensify pre-existing social tensions, trigger surges in violence, and increase vulnerability to exploitation by armed groups. Conversely, countries facing Fragility, Conflict, and Violence (FCV) challenges are typically more vulnerable to disasters due to weakened governance, eroded infrastructure, and limited coping capacity. These dynamics underscore the need for disaster risk management (DRM) approaches that jointly account for both multi-hazard and conflict exposure. While many recent studies have focused on mapping multi‑hazard susceptibility, few have examined how conflicts intersect with these hazards.
To address these compounded risks, we propose a framework for integrated multi‑hazard and conflict exposure assessment and develop an open‑source, globally applicable toolkit for rapid mapping of asset exposure at subnational scales. Our approach, which leverages globally accessible hazard maps and up-to-date conflict datasets, is designed to guide high-level, evidence-based DRM decision-making in FCV contexts. As a case study, we apply our methodology to Myanmar at the township level, identifying hotspots where populations face a high co-occurrence of multiple hazards and conflict events. By generating granular insights and identifying priority areas, this work aims to support more strategic resource allocation at the disaster–FCV nexus.
